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Gold Inflation Adjusted: New All-Time High After 45 Years
45 years later, gold has achieved the feat: the first week of September marked the end of a wait that lasted almost half a century. The inflation-adjusted Gold price has shattered the 1980 record - the one that for generations of investors represented the Everest of gold markets - stringing together six consecutive all-time highs in a single week.

Nicola Abis
Sep 15, 20253 min read


DAX Index: What Seasonality and Volume Say About Q4 2025
After a strong rally at the beginning of the year and again between April and May, the DAX Index has entered a prolonged sideways phase. What can investors expect in the final quarter of 2025? Let’s take a look at the latest data to understand whether market trends are about to shift.

Nicola Abis
Sep 15, 20253 min read


Dollar Index Crash: Our Cyclical Analysis
The Weight of Trump's Tariffs and Our Cyclical Analysis April 3, 2025 – The Dollar Index is experiencing a sharp decline, dropping nearly 3% in just two sessions. This downturn has been triggered by the announcement of new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. Since late 2024, our cyclical model had been pointing to a weakening phase for the dollar. It is a statistical reading, not a certainty: models describe probabilities, and markets can always behave differently. The

Nicola Abis
Apr 3, 20252 min read


Coffee: Production Rising Sharply, but Tariff Concerns Fuel Speculation
Despite the sharp increase in coffee production in Colombia, prices remain close to historical highs due to speculation and uncertainties over possible U.S. tariffs. The Trump administration has threatened new tariffs on Colombian coffee imports, creating volatility in coffee futures.

Nicola Abis
Mar 16, 20252 min read


Science considers seasonality one of the best investment strategies
In the world of investments, there is a fundamental question that has spanned decades of academic debate and financial practice: are there systematic methods to achieve returns that outperform the market? Recently, one of the most in-depth and authoritative studies ever conducted on this topic has provided a surprising answer: according to the study, some of these methods show notable persistence, and among them is one of the least known—seasonality. A groundbreaking study by

Nicola Abis
Mar 10, 20253 min read


Nasdaq & S&P 500: A Cyclical Analysis of the March 2025 Decline
In the following video, you'll see the cyclical performance of the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones. The statistics and cycles had predicted t

Nicola Abis
Mar 10, 20251 min read


Fidelity National Information Services (FIS): Seasonality and Backtest
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS), provides technology solutions for merchants, banks, and capital markets firms worldwide.

Nicola Abis
Mar 10, 20251 min read


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